I feel that there is an important aspect of the Obama era
that is slipping away, being forgotten; and in so being, laying the groundwork
for a similar mistake.
Let’s go back to the year 2009, when the O. administration
decided to go with the most conservative plan for national healthcare, the one
made up by the Heritage Foundation and promoted by Newt Gingrich in the 90s.
Much infighting on various progressive blogs ensued. The
progressive blog conclusion – expressed most forcefully, I believe, by Matt
Yglesias and Ezra Klein – was that those who wanted a more radical form of
healthcare were politically unrealistic. By this phrase, “politically
unrealistic,” they meant – well, they seemed to mean that other legislation couldn’t
get passed.
As we now know, if you are in majority, you can change the
rules and pass what you like. The GOP suffers from no problems with political
realism in that sense. Back in 2009, there was many a valiant single-payer who
dashed up to the walls with the same slogan: abolish filibuster, abolish the
barriers to passing progressive legislation! And was forced back, as such was
the horror of our great institutions that no majority would dare, would ever
dare, to touch the sacrosanct rules, which had lent a bipartisan aura to
everything from the Fugitive Slave Act to the Great War on Terror.
I sensed, then, and still sense that there was something
more behind the political realism slogan. That more was, I felt, a sort of
shared but unspoken mood, among both Republicans and Democrats, that Democratic
politicians were, to an extent, illegitimate. The legitimate ruling party of
the U.S.A. was the GOP. Hence, to legitimate any piece of legislation, you had
to get Daddy GOP to sign up for it, or at least one of the “stars” of the
party.
This sense of legitimacy is one of the great inheritances of
the Reagan era. It haunts Dems. The so-called moderate wing of the Democratic
party does pretty much buy the neo-liberal ideal – the era of big gov being
over, you gots to pay for your college education, boys and girls, we can’t
afford Medicare for all, everything can’t be free free free – but I think that they
have been sold this bill of goods under the soothing notion that the old,
McGovernite Dems were the ruin of everything, and that we all have to adopt to
the idea that the Republicans really represent the establishment, and we want
to be part of the establishment in the end, don't we?
If we keep an eye on this sense of latent illegitimacy, we
can sort of see what was going on in that fight in 2009. Two politically
realistic dimensions seemed, then, to have quite disappeared. The one is that
the most politically unrealistic thing you can do is deflate your followers
with half-hearted results after promising them something as absolute and sexy
as Hope. From birthday parties to elections, this is the recipe for a downer.
And if you lose the election, your calculations about political realism go out
the door: you will just spend your time in a defensive crouch.
The other dimension concerns acceptance. Social Security,
Medicare and Medicaid continue to exist because, although they came out of the Democratic
Party, they so quickly became part of the social knitting that the GOP couldn’t
get rid of them. Political realism, then, consists of making policy that
similarly becomes the new normal.
Unfortunately, the Dem strategy from 2009-2016 was based on
bipartisanship and executive action. Since there was no bipartisanship, after
2010, Obama’s politics were peculiarly top down. But the major act of the
administration, Obamacare, had huge problems politically. It depended for its
continuance on a complex mechanism that required legislative input. Social
security didn’t fundamentally change until the 1980s – it had a good forty year
run – and it changed much for the worse in the 80s, but it is still there.
Obamacare, though, unlike, say, Medicare for all, is very much subject to
malign neglect. If the Congress can’t get rid of it, they can quickly make it
odious to the people it is meant to help by simply not repairing it – and this
is what is happening. So, not only did the call for political realism in 2009
not result in a bipartisan vote for the ACA – it resulted in a wounded half
system that is very vulnerable to GOP shutdown, in ways that Medicare and the
Social Security system is not.
What is funny about the whole 2009 debate is that the “political
realist” commentariat were very very smug about what was “realistic” and what
was not. It was like they knew all the answers. In fact, they generated that
odor of certainty that hung around the Bushites in 2003 about the Iraq invasion
– you’d have to be crazy to oppose a cakewalk and the obvious competence of an
occupying force directed by the likes of Rumsfeld – who at the time was feted
as a reforming genius at the Pentagon. Similarly, Obama’s administration was
playing multi-dimensional chess on the ACA thing, and us carping mortals just
didn’t understand.
Well, we understood. And if, as might happen, the Dems take
over the House, I hope they understand that political realism is not
pre-compromising your campaign promises – it is making the other side swallow
them. The Ds of 1940, 1950 and 1965 understood this very well.
No comments:
Post a Comment